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Richard Roskell's avatar

Some interesting points in the speeches by Mr. Putin and Mr. Belousov, in no particular order.

1. Voluntary recruitment into the Russian forces in 2025 was 410,000 men, all under the age of 40 and many with higher education. That's likely to be adequate to sustain or increase Russian military numbers, even with casualties from the war.

2. Putin remembered to thank North Korea for their help, a respectful touch.

3. "Currently, FPV drones account for up to half of enemy casualties." - No comment necessary.

4. "[NATO] Military spending is increasing significantly. Today, the alliance’s annual budget stands at ~$1.6 trillion. With the gradual increase to five percent of national GDP, NATO’s budget will more than double to ~$2.7 trillion... All of this indicates that NATO is preparing for a military confrontation with Russia. The alliance’s plans call for achieving readiness for such actions by the turn of the 2030s. This has been openly stated by NATO officials on numerous occasions."

Mr. Belousov is objectively correct. There is no disputing the facts about NATO military spending, and what it intends to do with it in the future. Given that reality, one can readily understand Russia's strategic choices in how its managing the SMO. It's not Ukraine that Russia has to be existentially concerned about. It's NATO. And that means Russia has to be ready, willing and able to confront NATO if necessary when the Ukraine war ends. To do that requires that Russia doesn't burn itself out fighting Kiev. It must carefully marshal and protect its resources, while still advancing the war. There is a side benefit. By taking a less hasty approach to the conflict, Russia has time to develop and hone skills in multiple areas that could be crucial in a conflict with NATO. Drone warfare is an obvious example. But the big one is logistics. If you can't keep your forces supplied, then you're just looking for a smoking crater to die in. Russia will have their logistics, from factory to front line, sharpened to a fine point by four years of war.

dornoch altbinhax's avatar

Sometimes with translation it's hard to discern shades of meaning but I find it interesting to see the address, comrades. From Putin's previous comments on the past Russians haven't completely jettisoned the past and from some of the earlier banners I've seen being raised like from the Soviet era there's the link between current and previous struggles against fascism. The west engages in Orwellian manipulation of language to disguise effective intent, e.g. War is Peace , etc. So the bridge from the past is to take what is good and transplant it to the present.

What has been interesting way that corruption has been identified and dealt with, something of a holdover from the tail end of the Soviet period that persisted and festered within the Russian Federation. And here we see the parallel track in Russia and China of dealing with oligarchic tendencies that the west has been happy to utilise in subverting sovereigntist policies of national development. So, it was helpful that Putin went over the record of how the empire continues with hostile actions across a "full spectrum" where nothing is spared from weaponisation.

Which takes me to the final point, input from the bottom up having effect on policy, that in this instance is the real welfare of troops at all stages of service and beyond. And here is the real difference between empty rhetoric from western leaders and what we've seen during the SMO. Russian troops get timely treatment, Ukrainian's become organ "donors" or worse - just left to rot in the field. It won't be any better for those NATO meat puppets that will be drafted/conscripted into service.

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