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J Huizinga's avatar

Karl, excellent and extensive compilation and commentary. In case you missed it, the FT (8-8-23) reported that Saudi Aramco is proceeding with its announced investments in China despite 38% drops in second quarter 2023 profits. There had been hope by the west that SA would step back.

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Random Ruminations's avatar

The alignment of rhetoric, stated intentions and later results is a very persuasive track record, now going back several years. The Mandarins pulled the Imperial Court back from active engagement with RoW in the 1430's. Now six hundred years later that tide is finally turning and the world center of gravity is moving back to World Central Island and it does indeed seem to be happening without the usual accompaniment of widespread conquests by war.

Of course some might say we are now in a form of geopolitical 21st century siege war of attrition, and that might be true, but that doesn't make it not a far cry from old-style military mayhem. Perhaps, ironically, we can thank the existence of nuclear bombs and M.A.D. since they make conventional military conquest anathema. So for once in world history we may be witnessing profound geopolitical restructuring without widespread World War.

If all the West can do is thumb their noses at repressive domestic legislation in countries like Uganda, and ruin Eastern Ukraine with a gratuitously aggressive border dispute, not to mention long overdue widespread malaise among the complacent, molly-coddled citizenry in the developed West, well that's pretty darn good.

Thank you for so consistently chronicling this. As you know I have doubts that all this seeming good may prove too good to be true, but I certainly hope such doubt proves wrong. And in any case: the momentum you chronicle is indisputable, and its ramifications viz the role and reach of The Hegemonic Cartel is of epoch-making significance. Keep it up!

(A few more dates at the beginning would have clarified the reading experience at first, but no matter.)

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