The new equation is the demonstrated ability of Iran to attack any target inside Occupied Palestine it chooses due to the inability of Zionist and Western AD systems to do their job which is now very well documented in Ukraine, Saudi Arabia and now Palestine, with Iraq preceding them all. What follows are several comments I made at MoA this morning:
After watching many of Monday's talk shows, reading articles and comments, I must submit this recap article by Larry Johnson to the bar, "DESPITE WESTERN INSISTENCE THAT IRAN FAILED, IRAN DID WHAT IT PLANNED TO DO IN ISRAEL". Will Zionist megalomaniacs choose an easier target to retaliate against?
The boilerplate media read-out of the Raisi-Putin phone call's most important point was Raisi's saying Iran was satisfied with the results and planned nothing more unless forced. Of course, Iran's next wave is locked and loaded should the Zionists desire more pain, which Raisi probably also told Putin but wasn't mentioned.
Perhaps the best of the video talks was the Scott Ritter/Judge Napolitano chat. Larry Johnson’s chat with the Judge is linked at the end of his article linked above. The next item was the following analysis I shared:
The entry from military correspondent Marat Khairullin's Telegram today:
MILITARY CORRESPONDENT MARAT KHAIRULLIN Let's briefly return to the topic of the Iran-Israel clash. One of the active participants in our discussions (Eugenia) simply and clearly formulated the main conclusions, which, in our opinion, deserve attention. (The author's expressions are given without cuts)
"In the end, the results are as follows:
1. For the first time in history in the Middle East, someone (Iran) justified its actions in full compliance with international law (UN articles).
2. For the first time in history, Israel has received a response in principle for its brazen behavior (violation of the conventions on the inviolability of embassies).
3. What was the response? Openly announced, with designated goals, "to fly ducks and two geese", and the ducks flew for a long time... At the same time, Iran did not target civilians - it did not seek to harm the civilian population, the main targets were military: an air base and some kind of control center.
And characteristically, the targets were hit. It doesn't matter how serious it is, what matters is that Iran has indicated: I comply with the rules of war, I do not encroach on your civilians, and my soldiers touched your udders a little. Purely to make the situation clear.
4. The air defense system of the Israeli army has been opened - I mean what? The fact that information about how the Iron Dome of Israel would behave not against savages in slippers, but against serious opponents, was most needed by whom?
well... In Syria, a bear lurks in the bushes, which is actually the most interested in it.
5. For the first time in history, Israel has stepped on its own throat - when the damage caused by the attack must be many times greater than the actual damage caused by the attack. Down, the Zionist thugs sensed the inconvenience under the tail - and.. suddenly appealed to the UN Security Council.
6. Iran openly spoke in the style of "you now get the best possible offer - all other offers will be worse".
7. The U.S. barked at the Jews - clearly outlining that they would not fit into the prostitute with Iran.
In the end, what?
well.. A few years ago, it was impossible to imagine that Iran would personally launch a raid on Israeli territory.
Just as it was impossible to imagine that the small, impoverished country of Niger would suddenly take and kick out the French - and how everyone breathed... we're going to intervene in Niger right now...There are a number of examples of such events, and what do they all have in common?
Surprisingly accurate calculation. The exact timing - when you do what you want - and you don't get anything for it...
I know only one person on the planet who is so good at calculating the moments of action and the consequences of actions; and formalizes its actions on strictly legal grounds." [Emphasis Original]
That person in the bolded text is Putin.
IMO, that’s a lot of orchestration being credited to Putin. That Iran chose to respond in almost the way it did following Trump’s assassination of General Soleimani full warning and all is important as it sends a message to the Outlaw US Empire that it must control its vassal or face tremendous damage, which is also part of the new equation. The following comment expands the above:
On Zionist retaliation, IMO they've already done what they're going to do by targeting and killing a Hezbollah officer in Lebanon. AL-Mayadeen reports in its Breaking news: "Israeli drones bombed a car in the town of Shehabiya in Southern Lebanon after targeting a car in the village of Ain Baal earlier today." Plus at least five more massacres were committed in Gaza today.
IMO, the Zionists have realized that they cannot defeat Iran without defeating themselves. Yes, a very bitter pill to swallow but that's reality. However, IMO the Zionists believe they can still attain their Zionist Project goal as long as they leave Iran alone. IMO, that's also what the Zionists are being told by the American Zionists because the main threat to Imperial bases in the region come from Iran which will attack them if the Zionists attempt to attack Iran again. IMO, the Zionists were told to keep their eyes on the prize which are the hydrocarbons off Gaza's shoreline. The Zionist public won't like it as they are still screaming for blood, while at the same time large numbers of those with the means are taking themselves and their wealth out of Occupied Palestine.
The key remains the economic siege on Occupied Palestine and the great need for the supply lines from Turkey to be disrupted to increase the pressure.
The issue described in the last sentence above was just commented upon to which I provided the following reply:
During yesterday's Ritter/Napolitano chat, the fact that Erdogan was one of the big losers was posited by the Judge to which Ritter agreed. His problem is the domestic economy that greatly relies on trade with the Zionists; so, cutting that will cause him even more trouble than he has already. IMO, the Turk public hasn't thought through what its support for Palestinians means when it comes to their livelihood.
After providing RT’s article about the Putin/Raisi phone conversation readout, Andrei Martyanov added this last note:
Israel now lives in a different world since Saturday and faster Tel-Aviv wakes up to the reality the better chances it may have for survival in some form. Judging by a strong showing of Hasbara on each and every available public platforms, Iran did hurt Israel where it mattered and demonstrated what has been known for a while--US-made AD/ABM systems such as their Israeli knockoffs do not work in real war against technologically advanced opponent. Iran, evidently, also tested some new cruise missiles which did penetrate Israeli AD. In coming days and months we will find out more about that fateful night.
Zionist press and its Western echochamber continue positing a Zionist reprisal attack, which I’ve addressed with the above arguments won’t be made at this juncture. Also recall that Iran’s stated revenge for Soliemani’s murder still remains to be completely satisfied. Today, Judge Napolitano had a very full schedule for his chat show. One of the questions he’ll ask his guests: Will the Zionists use their nukes? I’ll let readers go and find out for themselves, but IMO they won’t as I’ve already said doing so would destroy everything Zionists within Occupied Palestine, a view shared by Crooke. Ritter and a host of others.
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Ritter has a good handle on the technical networks displayed on 13 - 14 Apr
If Russia and/or Iran had electronic intelligence (ELINT) in the air during the "engagement" their knowledge of US air and missile defense (AMD) has improved worth far more than the billion bucks shot off by Israel.
They have seen sensors: TPY-2 (THAAD), SPY 1 (Aegis), Patriot, and various smaller sets. They have likely intercepted data links and recorded transmission characteristics. Seeing how sensors talk to battle management centers, to other sensors, to fire controllers and links between sensors and missiles to correct course in flight.......
They would have seen missile flight profiles that equal what could be recorded on test ranges.
On the fighter aircraft they have seen the data links between AWACS/AEWC, refueling tankers, and between F-35 and other airborne networks.....
The hubris!
"...IMO, the Turk public hasn't thought through what its support for Palestinians means when it comes to their livelihood."
Erdogan's son in law has a lot at stake-he profits enormously from the trade and makes a killing out of stolen Syrian oil, evidently.
But for the first of the Turkish population all that is at stake in their relations with Israel ids the shame-shared with Sissi in Egypt- of being the twin pillars on which the Zionst project currently rests.
One thinbg is certain: if they don't deal with the Zionists, the Zionists, with their insane imperial ideas, will come after them.