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J Huizinga's avatar

Thank you Karl for another probing, informative and timely account of the three party dynamics — it seems that the average person in Taiwan is opposed to violence which, of course, is the dream of the US. It will be inordinately fascinating to see the evolving response of China. Apart from its vaunted patience which you refer to in your opening, China doubtless is planning a few incisions with its extremely precise scalpel set.

One thought that comes to mind is to begin to release selected deposits on Boeing’s 737 Max line (I think China’s airlines in toto constitute the largest single customer in the Max’s order book). It would be easy for these airlines to argue that the latest Alaska Air Max9 debacle shows that the ongoing technical weaknesses in this platform preclude expanding exposure. After all, China was the first country to ground the original Max after two major crashes (2019). After the Xi-Biden meeting in November, certain Chinese airlines appeared to be ready to restart deliveries. But a reversal or withdrawal would send an obvious message. Boeing is a huge military contractor so buying their commercial craft is paradoxical.

In any event, there is a tangible possibility that the US could, at some point, block Boeing’s contracts (service, spare parts, warranties etc) with Chinese airlines, much as it did with the Dutch semiconductor manufacturer ASML.

Schopenhauer was forthright and deadly accurate in his assessment: “they are the slime of the earth and the masters of lying”. The “they” are the proto-neocons, the small tribe that runs the White House today — if not, in fact, all facets of corporate, government and institutional life in the US.

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Diana van Eyk's avatar

Thanks for letting us know about this, Karl. I hope people in Taiwan take a look at how well 'help' from the USA served Ukrainians, and act accordingly.

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