Don Quixote tilted at windmills while one of the many items Uncle Sam sees as an enemy is depicted in the above cartoon—semiconductor chips. The cartoon is the header for the following Global Times editorial, “Why are American chips ‘no longer safe and reliable’?” As some readers know, this is but one segment in an ongoing Saga that began with Trump’s Trade War with China and kidnapping of Huawei’s CFO by Canada at the Empire’s request in an attempt to extort concessions from what’s now one of the world’s top tech companies. The ongoing cultural theme that surfaced then was already present in many other areas of the Empire’s economy and thus its geopolitical and geoeconomic standing—We are Strong and all others are Weak has long been a false mantra despite the Empire’s ability to force concessions from competitors that surpassed its industries. However, with China, the Outlaw US Empire has encountered a nation with a much stronger will and abilities that 100+ years ago was indeed very weak and was humiliated during those years of its semi-colonization. As the Deep State is discovering, China has many people with brains, many of which are quite brilliant and resourceful—a fact it should’ve noticed 50 years ago when Mao and Chou Enlai outmaneuvered Kissinger and Nixon into agreeing to the One China Policy. As I’ve noted on many occasions, Nature’s secrets are there for anyone to discover and utilize; and while the first nation to discover and implement a secret will enjoy an advantage, it won’t take long for that monopoly to cease. The technology related to chip making is one such secret, with what follows being the latest chapter in this ongoing Saga:
On December 3, the Internet Society of China, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, the China Semiconductor Industry Association, and the China Association of Communications Enterprises issued statements declaring that US chip products are no longer safe and reliable, calling on domestic companies to exercise caution when purchasing US chips. The day before, the US government announced a new round of export curbs on China, adding over 140 Chinese companies to the Commerce Department's entity list, involving various types of semiconductor products such as semiconductor manufacturing equipment and electronic design automation tools. It has also expanded its "long-arm jurisdiction" to restrict trade between China and third countries. Although the US government and some US media outlets have exaggerated the effects of these measures, the facts have repeatedly shown that such suppression cannot intimidate or halt the development and progress of China's technology industry.
The relevant restrictive measures from the US are akin to a shoe that has long been expected to drop. Reports indicate that most of the content had been composed by the middle of this year and was known to many in the industry. The release was delayed owing to negotiations with US allies and chip-equipment companies. These negotiations took months and involved multiple revisions to the policy. Industry giants reportedly spent more than $4 million collectively lobbying in the US as a result. The final document, spanning over 200 pages, has been criticized as "extremely complex" and "riddled with loopholes." The very process and outcome of its creation highlight the absurd nature of the policy, as it goes against the historical trend and undermines the interests of the majority of companies and individuals, making it destined for difficult implementation and unlikely to achieve the intended effects.
This is a blatantly arbitrary measure. Among the over 140 Chinese companies listed, some are included merely for having business dealings with Huawei, while others are deemed as "posing a risk to US national security," for participating in the acquisition of US high-tech companies.
The US has used this measure to greatly expand its power, affecting many countries and regions, including Japan, the Netherlands, Israel, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, and China's Taiwan region. This will severely disrupt the stability of the global industrial and supply chains and undermine the international economic and trade order. It's equivalent to the US falling ill while forcing the rest of the world to "take the medicine."
Currently, the vast majority of mainstream international opinion does not favor this new measure, believing it will only enhance China's determination and capability to build a self-sufficient semiconductor industry. This marks the third round of US restrictions on chip exports to China in recent years.
Each round of measures has expanded the list and implicated more countries and regions, trapping the US in a logical deadlock. The initial logic of suppressing and containing China is flawed; not only will it fail to curb China's technology industry, but it will also have the opposite effect.
The latest restrictions will lower to zero the amount of US content that determines when certain foreign items are subject to US control. In other words, if a product contains even a single chip designed or manufactured using American technology, the US government will restrict its shipment to Chinese companies on the list.
Such regulations may seem intimidating, but their actual effect is close to zero. The US has long implemented similar "supply cut" measures against Huawei; however, this has not prevented Huawei's "upward transformation," which serves as a typical example. The New York Times bluntly states that China is home to most of the world's electronics factories and is a huge consumer market in its own right. Therefore, engaging in trade and cooperation with China around semiconductors is inevitable; it is a natural flow within the global supply chain.
It must be pointed out that several industry associations in China have called for "caution" in buying US chips, primarily due to the US' neglect of the stability and security of the global industrial and supply chains. These associations' calls are necessary and do not contradict China's commitment to expanding independent opening-up. The development of China's technology industry is rooted in globalization; it has grown and strengthened through this process and will continue to actively deepen cooperation with enterprises from various countries in the future to promote the prosperous development of the global industry. This direction will not be shaken.
Some individuals in the US seek to hinder China's technological exchanges with other countries, including the US, which will inevitably result in China connecting even more closely with other nations, ultimately leaving the US isolated. The ongoing "de-Americanization" that some countries around the world are pursuing, starting from the financial sector, is a direct reflection of this trend. If the global semiconductor industry is a race involving many boats, Washington is like a ship that has veered off course, posing significant risks to other vessels. Global technological development is a community, and returning to the larger team of cooperation is the only wise choice for the US. We hope that Washington will recognize this sooner rather than later. [My Emphasis]
Cooperation not competition has recently risen to the top echelon of China’s mantras. After decades of argument, evolutionary biologists have finally overthrown the Darwinian Survival of the Fittest mantra by finally conceding that cooperation is the most favored evolutionary process as epitomized by the symbiotic process. This revolution in evolutionary thinking has yet to make its way to the political process which includes economic thinking. However, many scientific bodies have noted the truth and possibilities contained within such recognition, with physics and mathematics being the first two realms. We’re also seeing this process geopolitically with the emergence of greater levels of cooperation between members of the Global Majority, which is also being transmitted into the political-economic realm. The Win-Win mantra is a natural result of these changes as the Zero-sum model looks to be jettisoned by Humanity. The editorial notes that nations that insist on clinging to the Zero-sum model will slowly isolate themselves since they refuse to cooperate for some ideological reason(s). As such, we can see there’s a widening gap between those striving for closer global cooperation and those trying to keep a competitive advantage by not sharing/isolating themselves from the global community.
As we move into 2025 and its new Trump administration in the Outlaw US Empire, much speculation on its path has focused on the likelihood of its further isolating itself based on Trump’s first term, those he’s chosen as appointees, and the nature of the new Congress. Such isolation would be welcomed if that also included a withdrawal from the several conflicts in which it’s deeply involved and from its parasitic Empire of Bases that’s one major cause of its fiscal crises. Instead of wasting many billions of dollars it doesn’t have in its confrontations with China, Russia, BRICS, and the Global Majority, the Empire ought to instead save its money and cooperate to build a better world. Unfortunately, it appears there’s a large lack of such creative thinking within the Deep State’s cave that’s focused on seeing the reflections it shines onto its walls that it substitutes for reality. There’s a very well-worn proverb that states: If you can’t beat them then join them. Of course, doing so is an admission that one no longer has Primacy, and that appears to be THE ideological reason why the Deep State remains frozen—transfixed—to its cave-wall images.
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the usa either changes course,or it hits a bit iceberg which is reminiscent of the titanic.. the impression i have is trump is not going to change course.. we'll see.. meanwhile the whole usa state is wrapped in a cloak of ignorance trying to maintain the 'we are the greatest' mantra when they have already fallen off their perch... trump is going to play humpty dumpty for the usa here.. that is my feeling... and all the kings men won't be able to put him, or the usa back together again.. there present approach is a real losing one - sorry to say.. thanks karl..
The Outlaw Empire of the United States: "I want to live in opulence, without working, with everyone providing me with what I need. With everyone speaking my language and accepting my culture as superior. I will only be in charge of the weapons, although I will have others use them to enforce my "order based on (my) rules." Those who want to enter my house either bring large sums of money or start cleaning my boots, otherwise they will end up deported or locked up in concentration camps."