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richardstevenhack's avatar

Response to Karl Sanchez' "Russia on Veto of its UNSC Humanitarian Resolution and Crooke's Latest"

I hope you watched The Duran video from yesterday with a discussion of derivatives with "Reporterfly' who basically declared that any time now - it would only require a cold snap in Europe - the Western economy is going to collapse with literally hundreds of trillions of dollars being called to collection - a sum impossible to cover. He predicted a generational change in behavior as very few will be able to afford mortgages in the future - or perhaps, it was suggested, a "mortgage for life" would be imposed.

As for Gaza, well, b's post today pretty much made it clear that the US is intent on conducting military operations in the region. As I have predicted for years, Israel and the US can't get rid of Iran without getting rid of Hezbollah - and now it appears Israel can't get rid of the Palestinians without getting rid of Hezbollah, as well. And I've argued for the same time, Israel can not get rid of Hezbollah on its own. Even I was surprised to find that Hezbollah now has 100,000 troops and anywhere from 50,000 to over 100,000 rockets - albeit most of those are still relatively short-range. But they do have long-range Iranian missiles that can hit precision targets throughout Israel.

So I disagree with the Cradle article which suggested the US wants the PA to take over Gaza in order to salvage the Saudi rapprochement. I think that's just cover. The US doesn't give a damn about the Palestinians or the Saudis. The neocons run the US and they want Iran gone as much as Israel does. Whatever Biden is telling Israel about the PA and Gaza - if in fact he's telling them any such thing - is a smoke screen to cover the US real intentions.

The plan seems clear: Start (or fake) the Israeli ground invasion of Gaza, let Hezbollah enter the war - or equally likely, a preemptive attack on Hezbollah - plenty of grounds for that from Israel's viewpoint already - and then let the US assist from the air and sea. Then extend the war into Syria in order to kick out the Russians and finish the job Obama wanted to do in from 2011 to 2015 when the Russians entered - and even in 2016 when he contemplated a "no-fly zone". That would leave the US and Israel free to attack Iran at any time of their choosing.

The problem with involving Syria is that Russia is quite capable of sinking the entire two US carrier battle groups from as far away as the Black Sea or Caspian Sea. And if Syria gets to use however many Russian S-300 they still have, Israel and the US are going to lose a lot of aircraft, at least until Tomahawks are able to overwhelm those defenses - which will be difficult as Russia has the ECM to defeat them.

The Axis of Resistance now must calculate whether they should preempt such an attack by attacking first. The problem with that is that they will then become the "aggressors" in the eyes of the non-Arab world. OTOH, waiting for Israel and the US to attack depends on whether they can absorb the initial "punch." I suspect they can, so it might wise for them to wait until the US and Israeli commit themselves.

This war could go on for as long as the Ukraine conflict has - or longer if Iran gets involved. That will trigger an oil price rise - and then the derivatives collapse.

They really are burning down the house this time.

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Ed's avatar

US neocons are lusting for war, Iran seems to be the new enemy, despite no evidence of inclusion in the situation in Gaza.

Then the sale of US smart weapons and replacements for loses is a profit generator.

The US' "west" has no soul.

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