I actually didn’t want to write anything about the so-called "peace negotiations." Too little reliable information and too many psychological operations from all sides. Just a few fragments of my thoughts.
A frozen conflict / new "Cold War" ties up too many of Russia’s resources for decades and carries too great a risk of a future war. On top of that, it must be noted that this is a war against BRICS and against the process of forming a multipolar world order. For the Western, particularly the U.S. oligarchy, this is non-negotiable.
Thus, it all comes down to this war ending in either victory or defeat. Even if agreements are reached with the U.S., a future repetition of aggression cannot be ruled out.
The European "elites" cannot turn back. Their populations would hold them criminally accountable—starting with "pandemic fascism." Moreover, they now have to crack down on opposition forces more and more radically. But they can’t keep doing this forever—unless they resort to methods like the Gestapo and concentration camps of the past. Their only chance to back down was when the U.S. claimed it was no longer part of the war (which is a lie) and would not support European efforts. At that point, the European "elites" could have said that without the U.S., everything was pointless, and they would therefore stop fighting Russia. But they did the opposite and doubled down on their aggression. And so the dynamic took its course.
Russia must advance to Odessa. Even the Romanian nationalists, who just won the election with 40%, are laying claim to all of Moldova, including Transnistria, up to Odessa as Romanian territory. Moldova’s President "Sandu" is a Soros puppet. The Romanians, in turn, are puppets of the Americans. I’m not claiming that Trump’s team is behind this, but it’s definitely the Deep State in the U.S. and its branches in Brussels and London.
The increasing attempts at piracy and the naval blockade of the Baltic Sea will inevitably lead to a military confrontation with Russia—sooner or later. The problem is that the Western "elites" believe their own propaganda. And probably Trump does too. He deliberately sows confusion, though mainly targeting domestic opponents. But by threatening Russia with "devastating" sanctions if it doesn’t follow his instructions, he escalates things further. In any case, he is not a mediator. He is a party to the war, and Russia agrees to "peace negotiations" with the U.S. because they can only enforce their terms with/against the U.S.—either through negotiations or through war.
Agree. I lamented for Lavrov when he described Russia remaining open to sensible Europeans joining the Eurasian project because that status quo isn’t going to change anytime soon. It thus becomes a battle between European realists and the Nazi propaganda that supports the elite narrative. Russia’s negotiation ploy aims to help subvert the narrative. How the Trade War plays out will be important since it provides an opportunity for dollar indebted nations as Hudson’s spelled out and I’ve cited, which has the potential to strike a big blow to the Empire’s solvency. If the US Congress is fool enough to enact Trump’s tax cuts and proposed budget, havoc is going to reign in the capital markets. Plus, a 30% tariff remains on most Chinese goods which will drive inflation, causing the fed to raise rates and further roil the capital markets. Hudson’s chat with Nima last Thursday explored the idea that Trump’s polices will further deindustrialize the Empire and is well worth the 50-minues to watch. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pq8z8ojSmas
The closer the USA and the dependent West come to a crash, the greater the danger of a direct war against Russia/China/Iran/North Korea. We can choose where it starts. Moody has now downgraded the USA from Aaa to Aa1. Their debt problem is unsolvable. Compound interest, exponential debt. We are not "just" talking about 100 billion dollars of debt. The debt problem will eventually cause a terrible social catastrophe for the population. This can lead to chaos and/or revolutionary events. Up to and including civil war. So the US needs a very big war. I'm not saying it will. But I have studied a lot of history.
The main issue of launching a big war is the lack of men and material to do so. All the Outlaw US Empire really has is its submarine fleet and their missiles as their ICBMs, cruise missiles and bombers with gravity bombs are all imperceptible, and in the ICMB cases, many unlaunchable due to age. Both Russia and China have greater military capabilities. That’s why Trump went the Economic War route that he’s fucked-up so badly. Martyanov has a curious entry at his blog that merits reading that I’ve been meaning to introduce as a topic at the Gym, https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2025/05/no-shit-pardon-my-french.html
Unfortunately, Martyanov is completely right here. Regarding Alastair Crooke's article, I am not allowed to express myself publicly in Germany, because in the worst case, I could end up in prison. (Isn't Germany a wonderful democracy? Freedom of opinion means that opinions are persecuted and punished.) ... But perhaps you can read my thoughts.
Well supposedly Donald is going to call his buddy Vladimir to stop the killing. Well it was last Thursday Trump said we have to feed the Gazans, then by Friday he wanted Gaza as a freedom zone run by America, the point being Putin knows full stop that Trump and the empire can’t be trusted at all
CJ Noh in an interview with Jamarl Thomas expects that the US will not be able to win via conventional warfare (as has been said by others, e.g. Col. Larry Wilkerson) and so will resort to nuclear weapons. I agree with this view. The west is incapable of leaving its exceptionalism or drive for "full spectrum dominance". In my opinion the bankster mode made its last transition to the US because culturally it is of the same root and stock as Britain. Nesting in HK will not work out, ditto Singapore. As for the European continent they can return to the likes of the Thirty Years war for all I care, good riddance.
I expect few to agree with me despite my 8 promotions, rising from a lowly Armchair Lieutenant to Armchair General since the beginning of the SMO.
When Trump had the Europeans in a panic feigning withdrawal the Brits fired half a dozen Storm Shadows into Russia. Had this been answered in a reciprocal manner with a Kinzhal Dagger/ Member of the Avangard Family for every Storm Shadow into the UK targeting weapons manufacturing and power then Britain & Coalition of the Unhinged would have shit their diapers and disappeared from this conflict.
There are NAZIS being trained 30 miles from where I live and should I become collateral damage then so be it, I'm sick to the stomach with the rank amateurs running this Plantation, the same shower of shit flying reconnaissance missions in Gaza.
Russia needs a comprehensive solution to the longstanding aggression of the Collective West and nothing short of that will be acceptable. The US needs to come clean and acknowledge its origination of policy conspiring with NATO to use Ukraine as a proxy to attack Russia and the whole scheme supporting it. That included the use of enormous resources to enable the creation of a new 'administration' (junta) and a huge new army: funding, advising, arming & training, providing intelligence, directing propaganda, etc. The US is primarily responsible for causing all the death and destruction, so DJT needs to stand up and accept the punishment of defeat and surrender, initiate the removal of NATO bases in neighboring countries, remove the Ukrainian regime and begin reconstruction-repatriation of Ukr citizens living abroad.
Yes, agree with what must be done, but that’s been the case for the last 80 years as the Outlaw US Empire has caused mayhem and massive suffering globally, including within the Metropole. The elites that planned and committed those crimes have acted just like the Church in ignoring their deeds, knowing they can ignore the judgement because they can avoid the proper punishment—and it’s that latter point that will make it very difficult for Humanity to attain Harmony. The ancien regime will continue doing what it’s been doing until it’s forced to stop and is punished.
There is no legitimate authority in Ukraine, only western placeholders, so Ukraine is no longer a sovereign state but an occupied geographic space containing NPCs. Negotiation is a western fabrication and another psyop for western indoctrinated populations. The only real outcome is that either the west capitulates and ceases in its current bankster occupied form or the two principal forces (Russian Federation and Peoples Republic of China) of multipolarity capitulate ending in total victory for banksterism.
If US treated Russia as equals it would end the enslavement of US taxpayers to the global war industry. Since US will never free us, Mr. Putin is our only hope. Trump alone is causing the "killing" and "bloodbath" and Trump alone could end it (if only Lindsey Graham would let him). How embarrassing that Trump now has the Vatican on board with the global campaign against Russia, as it offers to "host" a meeting between "Ukraine" and Russia. Rubio on Face the Nation, Sun., 5/18/25, transcript: (Margaret): "You have been at the Vatican, and they have offered to host a direct meeting between Ukraine and Russia. Given that Vladimir Putin was a no show at the talks he called for in Istanbul this past week, is there reason to believe that he will take up Pope Leo on the offer?"
But then there is a question of moral authority that is surely lacking among the executioners of genocide in the west Asian war game.
After Minsk and Putin's 17 December 2021 epistle, Trump will need to show some definite irreversible dismantling of the nato terrorism against the Russian Nation to even have a chance at rapid de-escalation of the battle front in the ukrainian district of Russia.
Karl, you have enumerated on a few occasions just some of the legal issues. Even MoA gives it no never mind.
These are not minor issues of no importance. One of your US Congress critters benefits from the long term support of a Wayne Morse Law School graduate on the Law of the Sea. Been to many a U of a Christmas event in DC, which is how I know. She is pretty sharp. Far more sharp than me under the influence of free (!) adult beverages.
Yet, what the Global Majority demand is adherence to law which is supposed to be THE definition of civilized/moral. How can Humanity arrive at a state of Harmony without Law? The only reason a hegemon exists is because it refuses to obey laws and has become deviant—the deviance aspect being key.
this issue has been hanging over any ceasefire talk like an albatross for many months - years even... no acknowledgement of any of it from the western poodles or trumpypants either... of course i am not surprised... the whole concept of operating in a legal manner is beyond them, or so it seems...
“trumpypants: (Very Cool!} called Zelensky a dictator and assaulted his position several times. I called attention to Martyanov’s blog posting about criminal syndicates, which is a big problem flying under the radar because of Western complicity. Just think of the drug and body part trade facilitated by CIA, MI6 and allies, and black-market weapons. So, there’re many issues that don’t get any media that are important nonetheless.
very true! the media are essentially complicit in fostering and supporting the ignorance that is available for all to see... in this regard they are very much an effective propaganda outlet, as opposed to an informative one... the art of omission seems to be one of their main traits...
Richard Wolff during a Hudson chat described the traits of the salesman, the advertiser—Madison Avenue (remember that tune!), and that’s what we’re subjected with—drowned by. The need to see how the manipulation process works it critical.
i once took a sociology of the media course in college... it served me well... i have a bad habit of questioning everything.. it works out in the long run for the most part..
yeah, but is he even good enough to play in a pub in britian? i somehow doubt it, although i am sure the city of london would give him a gig - haha - they already have, as little prince of ukrainaziland...
I actually didn’t want to write anything about the so-called "peace negotiations." Too little reliable information and too many psychological operations from all sides. Just a few fragments of my thoughts.
A frozen conflict / new "Cold War" ties up too many of Russia’s resources for decades and carries too great a risk of a future war. On top of that, it must be noted that this is a war against BRICS and against the process of forming a multipolar world order. For the Western, particularly the U.S. oligarchy, this is non-negotiable.
Thus, it all comes down to this war ending in either victory or defeat. Even if agreements are reached with the U.S., a future repetition of aggression cannot be ruled out.
The European "elites" cannot turn back. Their populations would hold them criminally accountable—starting with "pandemic fascism." Moreover, they now have to crack down on opposition forces more and more radically. But they can’t keep doing this forever—unless they resort to methods like the Gestapo and concentration camps of the past. Their only chance to back down was when the U.S. claimed it was no longer part of the war (which is a lie) and would not support European efforts. At that point, the European "elites" could have said that without the U.S., everything was pointless, and they would therefore stop fighting Russia. But they did the opposite and doubled down on their aggression. And so the dynamic took its course.
Russia must advance to Odessa. Even the Romanian nationalists, who just won the election with 40%, are laying claim to all of Moldova, including Transnistria, up to Odessa as Romanian territory. Moldova’s President "Sandu" is a Soros puppet. The Romanians, in turn, are puppets of the Americans. I’m not claiming that Trump’s team is behind this, but it’s definitely the Deep State in the U.S. and its branches in Brussels and London.
The increasing attempts at piracy and the naval blockade of the Baltic Sea will inevitably lead to a military confrontation with Russia—sooner or later. The problem is that the Western "elites" believe their own propaganda. And probably Trump does too. He deliberately sows confusion, though mainly targeting domestic opponents. But by threatening Russia with "devastating" sanctions if it doesn’t follow his instructions, he escalates things further. In any case, he is not a mediator. He is a party to the war, and Russia agrees to "peace negotiations" with the U.S. because they can only enforce their terms with/against the U.S.—either through negotiations or through war.
Agree. I lamented for Lavrov when he described Russia remaining open to sensible Europeans joining the Eurasian project because that status quo isn’t going to change anytime soon. It thus becomes a battle between European realists and the Nazi propaganda that supports the elite narrative. Russia’s negotiation ploy aims to help subvert the narrative. How the Trade War plays out will be important since it provides an opportunity for dollar indebted nations as Hudson’s spelled out and I’ve cited, which has the potential to strike a big blow to the Empire’s solvency. If the US Congress is fool enough to enact Trump’s tax cuts and proposed budget, havoc is going to reign in the capital markets. Plus, a 30% tariff remains on most Chinese goods which will drive inflation, causing the fed to raise rates and further roil the capital markets. Hudson’s chat with Nima last Thursday explored the idea that Trump’s polices will further deindustrialize the Empire and is well worth the 50-minues to watch. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pq8z8ojSmas
The closer the USA and the dependent West come to a crash, the greater the danger of a direct war against Russia/China/Iran/North Korea. We can choose where it starts. Moody has now downgraded the USA from Aaa to Aa1. Their debt problem is unsolvable. Compound interest, exponential debt. We are not "just" talking about 100 billion dollars of debt. The debt problem will eventually cause a terrible social catastrophe for the population. This can lead to chaos and/or revolutionary events. Up to and including civil war. So the US needs a very big war. I'm not saying it will. But I have studied a lot of history.
The main issue of launching a big war is the lack of men and material to do so. All the Outlaw US Empire really has is its submarine fleet and their missiles as their ICBMs, cruise missiles and bombers with gravity bombs are all imperceptible, and in the ICMB cases, many unlaunchable due to age. Both Russia and China have greater military capabilities. That’s why Trump went the Economic War route that he’s fucked-up so badly. Martyanov has a curious entry at his blog that merits reading that I’ve been meaning to introduce as a topic at the Gym, https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2025/05/no-shit-pardon-my-french.html
And then there’s this very lengthy listing of Hebrew media items at Alastair Crooke’s substack, https://conflictsforum.substack.com/p/israel-is-in-moral-meltdown
The road to Harmony amongst Humans will be long, difficult and painful.
Unfortunately, Martyanov is completely right here. Regarding Alastair Crooke's article, I am not allowed to express myself publicly in Germany, because in the worst case, I could end up in prison. (Isn't Germany a wonderful democracy? Freedom of opinion means that opinions are persecuted and punished.) ... But perhaps you can read my thoughts.
Yes. Thanks for replying!
"The US needs a very big war" - actually, the UK/US banking cartel and the MIC (including BlackRock) need "a very big war"
The cartel of Black Rock, MIC and Wall Street is the USA. The USA is an oligarchy.
Cognitive dissonance is very prevalent Heiko, especially in regards the mighty US of A.
Well supposedly Donald is going to call his buddy Vladimir to stop the killing. Well it was last Thursday Trump said we have to feed the Gazans, then by Friday he wanted Gaza as a freedom zone run by America, the point being Putin knows full stop that Trump and the empire can’t be trusted at all
CJ Noh in an interview with Jamarl Thomas expects that the US will not be able to win via conventional warfare (as has been said by others, e.g. Col. Larry Wilkerson) and so will resort to nuclear weapons. I agree with this view. The west is incapable of leaving its exceptionalism or drive for "full spectrum dominance". In my opinion the bankster mode made its last transition to the US because culturally it is of the same root and stock as Britain. Nesting in HK will not work out, ditto Singapore. As for the European continent they can return to the likes of the Thirty Years war for all I care, good riddance.
Looking for a legal (and reliable) entity in the Outlaw Empire? Good luck with that.
I expect few to agree with me despite my 8 promotions, rising from a lowly Armchair Lieutenant to Armchair General since the beginning of the SMO.
When Trump had the Europeans in a panic feigning withdrawal the Brits fired half a dozen Storm Shadows into Russia. Had this been answered in a reciprocal manner with a Kinzhal Dagger/ Member of the Avangard Family for every Storm Shadow into the UK targeting weapons manufacturing and power then Britain & Coalition of the Unhinged would have shit their diapers and disappeared from this conflict.
There are NAZIS being trained 30 miles from where I live and should I become collateral damage then so be it, I'm sick to the stomach with the rank amateurs running this Plantation, the same shower of shit flying reconnaissance missions in Gaza.
The British Brown Shirts never went away.
Russia needs a comprehensive solution to the longstanding aggression of the Collective West and nothing short of that will be acceptable. The US needs to come clean and acknowledge its origination of policy conspiring with NATO to use Ukraine as a proxy to attack Russia and the whole scheme supporting it. That included the use of enormous resources to enable the creation of a new 'administration' (junta) and a huge new army: funding, advising, arming & training, providing intelligence, directing propaganda, etc. The US is primarily responsible for causing all the death and destruction, so DJT needs to stand up and accept the punishment of defeat and surrender, initiate the removal of NATO bases in neighboring countries, remove the Ukrainian regime and begin reconstruction-repatriation of Ukr citizens living abroad.
Yes, agree with what must be done, but that’s been the case for the last 80 years as the Outlaw US Empire has caused mayhem and massive suffering globally, including within the Metropole. The elites that planned and committed those crimes have acted just like the Church in ignoring their deeds, knowing they can ignore the judgement because they can avoid the proper punishment—and it’s that latter point that will make it very difficult for Humanity to attain Harmony. The ancien regime will continue doing what it’s been doing until it’s forced to stop and is punished.
The Empire of Lies and Hypocrisy is ruled by the anonymous psychopaths. There are should be ways to endanger them directly.
There is no legitimate authority in Ukraine, only western placeholders, so Ukraine is no longer a sovereign state but an occupied geographic space containing NPCs. Negotiation is a western fabrication and another psyop for western indoctrinated populations. The only real outcome is that either the west capitulates and ceases in its current bankster occupied form or the two principal forces (Russian Federation and Peoples Republic of China) of multipolarity capitulate ending in total victory for banksterism.
Yes, that’s the much larger Big Picture.
If US treated Russia as equals it would end the enslavement of US taxpayers to the global war industry. Since US will never free us, Mr. Putin is our only hope. Trump alone is causing the "killing" and "bloodbath" and Trump alone could end it (if only Lindsey Graham would let him). How embarrassing that Trump now has the Vatican on board with the global campaign against Russia, as it offers to "host" a meeting between "Ukraine" and Russia. Rubio on Face the Nation, Sun., 5/18/25, transcript: (Margaret): "You have been at the Vatican, and they have offered to host a direct meeting between Ukraine and Russia. Given that Vladimir Putin was a no show at the talks he called for in Istanbul this past week, is there reason to believe that he will take up Pope Leo on the offer?"
That Putin called for talks never meant he would attend. Diplomacy hasn’t been done by those people for so long they’ve forgotten how it works.
Legal authority? I doubt there is any western figure who among FUGUS has the bona fides to sign.
Dimitry Lascaris and John Helmer shed some light...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rYvIlNUZS5o
But then there is a question of moral authority that is surely lacking among the executioners of genocide in the west Asian war game.
After Minsk and Putin's 17 December 2021 epistle, Trump will need to show some definite irreversible dismantling of the nato terrorism against the Russian Nation to even have a chance at rapid de-escalation of the battle front in the ukrainian district of Russia.
I don’t think Team Trump can think that deeply and is too exceptional for anyone’s good.
Karl, you have enumerated on a few occasions just some of the legal issues. Even MoA gives it no never mind.
These are not minor issues of no importance. One of your US Congress critters benefits from the long term support of a Wayne Morse Law School graduate on the Law of the Sea. Been to many a U of a Christmas event in DC, which is how I know. She is pretty sharp. Far more sharp than me under the influence of free (!) adult beverages.
Bottom line score, zip, nada. Argh!
Yet, what the Global Majority demand is adherence to law which is supposed to be THE definition of civilized/moral. How can Humanity arrive at a state of Harmony without Law? The only reason a hegemon exists is because it refuses to obey laws and has become deviant—the deviance aspect being key.
this issue has been hanging over any ceasefire talk like an albatross for many months - years even... no acknowledgement of any of it from the western poodles or trumpypants either... of course i am not surprised... the whole concept of operating in a legal manner is beyond them, or so it seems...
thanks karl!
“trumpypants: (Very Cool!} called Zelensky a dictator and assaulted his position several times. I called attention to Martyanov’s blog posting about criminal syndicates, which is a big problem flying under the radar because of Western complicity. Just think of the drug and body part trade facilitated by CIA, MI6 and allies, and black-market weapons. So, there’re many issues that don’t get any media that are important nonetheless.
very true! the media are essentially complicit in fostering and supporting the ignorance that is available for all to see... in this regard they are very much an effective propaganda outlet, as opposed to an informative one... the art of omission seems to be one of their main traits...
Richard Wolff during a Hudson chat described the traits of the salesman, the advertiser—Madison Avenue (remember that tune!), and that’s what we’re subjected with—drowned by. The need to see how the manipulation process works it critical.
i once took a sociology of the media course in college... it served me well... i have a bad habit of questioning everything.. it works out in the long run for the most part..
The Piano Player is illegitimate.
yeah, but is he even good enough to play in a pub in britian? i somehow doubt it, although i am sure the city of london would give him a gig - haha - they already have, as little prince of ukrainaziland...
Another way of seeing this issue is “what exactly does Kiev rule?”
IOW is Stalin’s kluge of an SSR even a thing.
The Russian position should be Ukraine is de facto. These negotiations should conclude what is de jure Ukraine.
A lot less than Stalin’s legacy.